Monday, 10 February 2025

Engineering & Manufacturing, BFSI, and Flex spaces to emerge as key demand drivers, 10-15% YoY growth in 2025


·       Office demand to solidify at 65-70 msf during 2025, driven by demand scale-up across the top 6 cities

·       Bengaluru demand to cross 20 msf again in 2025, followed by Hyderabad and Delhi NCR at 10-15 msf each

·       GCC leasing to reach 25-30 msf in 2025, 10-12% YoY growth

·       2025 new supply estimated at 60-65 msf, driven by Bengaluru and followed by Hyderabad & Delhi-NCR

Gurgaon, India, 11 February 2025: India’s top six cities have witnessed significant scale-up in office leasing and supply, helping office market set new records in successive years. The scale-up, mainly driven by evolving occupier preferences is likely to gain further momentum, with gross leasing across the top six cities projected to reach 65-70 million sq ft in 2025, according to Colliers' latest report, ‘India Office: Setting New Standards for 2025’ released at the FICCI 18th Real Estate summit today. This forecast takes into account continuance of favorable business sentiments and excludes impact of external volatilities or disruptive events.

The surge in overall leasing volume is likely to be driven by diversification of occupier base, continued expansion of Global Capability Centers (GCCs) and business optimism amidst domestic occupiers. The office market will continue to evolve from a supply-led environment to an occupier-driven landscape, shaping the next growth phase of commercial real estate in India. This transition has pushed developers to become more agile and tailor office spaces to match evolving occupier needs. Approximately 60-65 million sq ft of new supply is anticipated in 2025. Moreover, a growing emphasis on energy efficiency and sustainable material & energy usage is set to further redefine standards in Indian commercial estate throughout 2025.

India office market outlook 2025

2024

2025F

Gross Leasing (mn sq ft)

66.4

65 - 70

New Supply (mn sq ft)

53.3

60 - 65

Vacancy (%)

16.6%

15-16%

WA Rentals (INR/sq ft/month)

101.8

100 - 110

Note: Data pertains to Grade A buildings only and top 6 cities include- Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi-NCR, Hyderabad, Mumbai, and Pune | Gross absorption does not include lease renewals, pre-commitments and deals where only a Letter of Intent has been signed | Weighted Average Quoted (WAQ) Rents are in INR per square feet per month for warm shell offices and do not include Common Area Maintenance (CAM) or taxes.

Source: Colliers

“Bengaluru will account for an estimated one-third of the overall office space demand in 2025, led by space uptake from GCCs, engineering & manufacturing firms and flex space operators. While Bengaluru will continue to lead the other major markets by a considerable margin, Hyderabad and Delhi NCR are likely to see heightened activity and register 10-15 million sq ft of leasing activity each, 5-10% higher compared to previous year. Mumbai, Chennai and Pune will meanwhile continue to be preferred by occupiers from BFSI and Engineering & manufacturing sectors and flex space operators respectively. The three cities are likely to witness 5-10 million sq ft of Grade A office space demand each in 2025.” says Arpit Mehrotra, Managing Director, Office Services, Colliers India.

City-wise office market 2024 & 2025 outlook

Cities

Gross Leasing 2024 (mn sq ft)

Gross Leasing 2025F

(mn sq ft)

New Supply 2024

(mn sq ft)

New Supply 2025F

(mn sq ft)

Bengaluru

21.7

20+

15.2

15 – 20

Chennai

6.8

5 - 10

2.1

5 – 10

Delhi NCR

9.7

10 – 15

8.7

10 – 15

Hyderabad

12.5

10 - 15

13.7

10 – 15

Mumbai

10.0

5 - 10

8.3

5 – 10

Pune

5.7

5 - 10

5.3

5 - 10

Pan India

66.4

65 - 70

53.3

60 - 65

Note: Data pertains to Grade A buildings only | Gross absorption does not include lease renewals, pre-commitments and deals where only a Letter of Intent has been signed

Source: Colliers

Demand from Engineering & Manufacturing, BFSI firms and flex space operators can surge by 10-15% in 2025

Engineering & manufacturing, BFSI firms and flex space operators are expected to drive office demand in 2025, with each segment poised for a 10-15% annual rise in space uptake. Cumulatively, these three sectors are likely to continue to account for half of the leasing activity in 2025. Engineering & manufacturing sector will see heightened activity across most major office markets, with Bengaluru likely to dominate leasing volumes. BFSI firms will continue to prefer having a presence in Mumbai, but increasing traction in Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and Pune highlights a growing trend of diversification beyond traditional hubs. Meanwhile, flex space operators are set to emerge as one of the leading demand drivers, accounting for nearly 20% of total leasing activity in 2025.

Sectoral Leasing in 2024 and 2025F

Sector

2024

2025F

Leasing (mn sq ft)

Share (%)

Leasing (mn sq ft)

Share (%)

Technology

16.3

25%

15.0 - 20.0

~25%

Flex Spaces

12.5

19%

~15.0

~20%

BFSI

11.0

17%

10.0 - 15.0

15% - 20%

Engineering & Manufacturing

10.4

16%

10.0 - 15.0

15% - 20%

Healthcare

4.8

7%

3.0 - 8.0

5% - 10%

Consulting

4.3

6%

3.0 - 8.0

5% - 10%

Others

7.1

10%

2.0 - 5.0

2% - 5%

Note: Data pertains to Grade A buildings only and top 6 cities include- Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi-NCR, Hyderabad, Mumbai, and Pune | Gross absorption does not include lease renewals, pre-commitments and deals where only a Letter of Intent has been signed

Source: Colliers

GCC demand to further gain ground in India

GCC leasing saw a 41% YoY increase in 2024, at 25.7 million sq ft across the top 6 cities. This demand is expected to further increase and be close to 30 million sq ft, accounting for around 40% of the total office space demand in 2025. Bengaluru and Hyderabad are likely to remain preferred knowledge and innovation-driven GCC hubs. In line with past trends, US-based companies are likely to drive GCC expansion across most markets and contribute around 70% of the GCC demand in 2025, led by Technology, BFSI & Engineering & manufacturing firms.

GCC leasing in 2024 and 2025F

2024

2025F

Leasing (mn sq ft)

Share (%)

Leasing (mn sq ft)

Share (%)

25.7

39%

25.0-30.0

~40%

Note: Data pertains to Grade A buildings only and top 6 cities include- Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi-NCR, Hyderabad, Mumbai, and Pune | Gross absorption does not include lease renewals, pre-commitments and deals where only a Letter of Intent has been signed

Source: Colliers

Asset quality to improve with increasing focus on sustainability and inclusion in REITs

With REITs in India gaining traction, driven by increasing retail investor participation and favorable regulatory environment, developers are focusing on curating high-quality real estate portfolios. Simultaneously, the growing occupier demand for sustainable, green-certified developments can fast-track the realization of national carbon emission and net-zero goals. Increasing adoption of sustainable elements and low-carbon construction materials in built environment especially commercial real estate can accelerate long-term green economy transition.

“India’s commercial real estate is focused on creating high-quality assets and leading developers are prioritizing construction of high-quality, rent-yielding assets, to ultimately list them as REITs. At the same time, rising demand for green-certified workplaces is pushing developers to align with global sustainability standards, and increasingly focus on energy efficiency, carbon reduction, and environmental compliance. Over the past few years green leasing has been gaining traction and 80-85% of Grade A office space demand in 2025 is likely to be concentrated in green-certified developments." says Vimal Nadar, Senior Director & Head of Research, Colliers India.

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