Akshaya Tritiya 2022 is here.
Given the current volatility in gold prices, investors are contemplating if
they should just do a token purchase this year or add a good chunk of gold on
the day. While traditions should be upheld, the price outlook should also be
kept in mind while making your gold investments.
Central banks face difficult
choices in the post-pandemic environment as they balance growth and inflation.
The Russia-Ukraine war has disrupted supply chains and commodity markets,
further propelled inflation, and has cast a shadow on global growth, further
complicating things. How policymakers navigate this extraordinary macroeconomic
and geopolitical environment will determine gold’s trajectory.
With US inflation at 4-decade
highs, the Federal Reserve has put multiple rate hikes and quantitative tightening
on the table. This hawkish era of US monetary policy will be challenging for
the metal.
But if the Fed’s tightening
coincides with a slowdown thanks to the war and persistent inflation, we are
looking at a policy error and major volatility across all asset markets and
potential debt crises, which will be conducive for gold.
For now, international gold prices will continue to be
pulled in different directions as investors struggle to determine which has
bigger implications for the metal: Sky-high inflation, potential recession, and
other geopolitical and economic repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine war OR
higher yields and stronger dollar thanks to monetary tightening by the Fed.
Gold
because of conflicting forces is likely to be in a consolidation mode for some
time. In the past, periods of consolidation in gold
prices have proven to be great entry points for investors, benefitting from the
upcycle in prices that followed. This makes this Akshaya Tritiya a conducive
time for under-allocated investors to accumulate gold and bring up their
allocation to 10-15% of their portfolio.
As one of the price-efficient,
secure, liquid, regulated, and accessible gold investment avenues available in
the country today, Gold ETFs can be a good choice to build your gold
allocation. The Quantum Gold ETF is backed by 24 carat gold and offers
investors a way to invest in gold in small denominations of 0.01 grams. Those
who do not wish to open a Demat account or to time the markets, can opt for the
Quantum Gold Savings Fund which invests in Quantum Gold ETF, and use the SIP
option.
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